WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW
- St Onge said the blue wave was a rejection of Washington.
- He argued that voters remain deeply dissatisfied with both parties.
- Democrats gained roughly 35 House seats and seven Senate seats.
- St Onge predicts two years of gridlock and investigations.
Peter St Onge says the Democratic sweep in the midterm elections should not be mistaken for an endorsement of the Democratic Party, arguing instead that voters were punishing Republicans and expressing broader frustration with Washington.
St Onge pointed to Democratic gains of roughly 35 House seats and seven Senate seats while warning that the result will likely produce two years of investigations, legislative gridlock and little progress on the economic problems voters want addressed.
"Republicans just had their seats handed to them in a blue tsunami, plunging the Republican to a two-year clown show that, spoiler alert, will accomplish precisely nothing voters wanted, but will punish Republicans for failing to deliver what both parties failed to deliver: a smaller government, lower prices, and an America First foreign policy."
He described the scope of the Democratic gains as significant, particularly in the Senate races considered competitive.
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"At the moment, it looks like Democrats won roundabout 35 House seats, handing them a decent majority, and seven Senate seats, which is roughly 70% of the seats that were actually in play. So it was pretty ugly."
St Onge cautioned Democrats against interpreting those victories as evidence that voters have embraced their party.
"But before Democrats popped the bubbly, they might keep in mind this election was not about backing the blue. In fact, voter approval of the Democrat Party is lower than Republicans. Instead, it was about punishing Congress for failing to fix anything."
He predicted Democrats could face the same voter backlash after controlling Congress, particularly if Washington remains unable to address the issues that drove dissatisfaction in the first place.
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"And after two years of a Democrat Congress failing even harder, with gender swaps for legals thrown in for laughs, voters will hate Democrats even more than they do today."
St Onge said Republicans should not have been surprised by the election results, pointing to earlier signs that a Democratic wave could be developing.
"Now, Republicans in Congress should have seen Tuesday coming. Prediction Market Callsheet was warning of a blue wave way back in April, the early days of the Iran War, when the Save America Act to fix election fraud was still in play."
He argued that the most important takeaway was not the number of Republican seats lost but what he described as overwhelming voter dissatisfaction with the federal political system.
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"Republicans shockingly ignore the warnings, but the most fascinating number is not the Republican losses. It's the fact that fully 80% of voters want to toss the bums, tear out the plumbing, gut Congress, no matter which party is in power."
St Onge characterized that frustration as rejection of what he calls the “uniparty,” arguing that voters repeatedly turn against whichever party holds power.
"As in, voters despise the uniparty, whether it's wearing red or blue. In fact, it's a long-standing rule of thumb in Washington that the party in power always loses the midterms nine out of 10 times in the past century, as in once voters actually taste what Washington's cooking, they always hate it, no matter what the party."
He said that pattern demonstrates a disconnect between voters and the institutions supposedly representing them.
"This is not in theory how it's supposed to work in a democracy. In theory, voters are supposed to choose what's for dinner, and after 250 years, there should be something decent on the menu."
St Onge blamed special interests for the problem, arguing that elected officials have stronger incentives to respond to campaign donors and lobbying interests than ordinary voters.
"In fact, after 250 years, everything they try is garbage, and the reason, of course, is neither party is designed to serve the voters. They serve the special interests who bankroll their campaigns, shower them with lobbying money, and reward them with cushy half million dollar jobs when they leave Congress, the donors get to eat, the voters get the bill."
He said Tuesday’s results should therefore be viewed as another anti-Washington vote rather than a partisan realignment.
"In short, on Tuesday, Americans did not vote for Democrats; they voted against Washington, like they've been doing for decades now with nothing to show."
Looking ahead, St Onge predicted Democrats will use their congressional power to investigate President Donald Trump and his administration, block nominees and prevent additional Trump judicial appointments.
"Democrats will now spend two years investigating Trump in the cabinet, blocking nominees, no more judges for Trump, and pushing trillion-dollar handouts that will get vetoed along with shutdowns. So gridlock and show trials."
He argued that those battles will do little to solve the economic pressures facing Americans.
"Voters, of course, will get absolutely nothing. They'll get unaffordable housing, medical bankruptcy, crushing taxes, and groceries bought on layaway, because neither party wants to close the auction house. They're just taking turns running it."
St Onge concluded by returning to his contention that public dissatisfaction has failed to change the incentives driving Washington.
"Bottom line: eight and 10 Americans may want to gut Washington, but the other two bought Washington, and they'll switch horses without missing a beat."
Republicans got slaughtered and Democrats are popping champagne.
The kicker is Democrats are even less popular than Republicans. It wasn’t a blue tsunami. It was an anti-Washington tsunami. And the GOP was closest to the beach. https://t.co/rNru3s9t5k — Peter St Onge, Ph.D. (@profstonge) November 6, 2026
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